Drum role please............
Ryan Howard!
Im not saying that if you already took Howard with the 2-4th pick in your draf that your season is finished before it started. Howard is an excellent power source and has been able to post a solid ba his whole career. By no stretch am i saying that Howard will not have a good year. Though he is not totally established as a big leaguer, is power is for real. However before you choose howard over guys like Soriano and Reyes you should consider:
- Most of the time players do not repeat or improve on career years in HR
- Teams will certainly stop pitching to him with Burell behind him
- Howard has carried a sub 70% contact% with him his whole carrer, + he strikes out a lot. Though he has played with this stat his whole career, so has Adam Dunn. Just some food for thought.
So as you can seee there is nothing hugley numerical. However the point is that Howard is going to regress a little bit at best this year. If he hit say 10 less homers, that puts him into a category with guys like Konerko, Morneau, and Texiera. In addition to this his terrible contact% always points to the inevitable ba drop. Still Howard should be drafted above all other 1b other than Pujols. My whole point here is that if Howard regresses (which he will) a little bit this year he is not all that much more valuable than other 1b you can pick up another round or two later. You would be better off taking Soriano/Arod/Reyes/Crawford/ or even Santana over Ryan Howard this year
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1 comment:
Howard's ground ball rate isn't too hot either
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